12 Feb 2024 [146] Apixaban is safer and more effective than rivaroxaban for non-valvular atrial fibrillation
Abstract
Background: Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) poses risks of mortality and thromboembolic events, necessitating anticoagulant therapy. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) such as apixaban and dabigatran have emerged as alternatives to warfarin due to their convenience. Choosing the appropriate DOAC involves weighing benefits against risks, considering patient factors and preferences.
Methods: A systematic review of observational studies directly comparing the effectiveness and safety of apixaban with other DOACs for NVAF was conducted. Cohort studies totaling 2,936,126 participants were analyzed, with meta-analysis conducted on 27 studies (N=2,135,415) reporting total event numbers. Primary outcomes including total mortality, major bleeding and thromboembolic events, were analyzed and compared across DOACs.
Results: Apixaban had lower risks of major bleeding compared to dabigatran and rivaroxaban, while demonstrating similar efficacy in preventing stroke and systemic embolism. Apixaban was associated with a reduced risk of total mortality, ischemic stroke, and intracranial hemorrhage compared to rivaroxaban. Apixaban and dabigatran exhibited similar risks of death and intracranial hemorrhage, but apixaban showed superiority in preventing systemic embolism or stroke when compared to dabigatran.
Conclusions: Observational evidence consistently favours apixaban over rivaroxaban, dabigatran, and edoxaban as the preferred first choice DOAC for NVAF patients accepting twice-daily dosing. Given its efficacy and safety profile, particularly in reducing major bleeding, apixaban is a suitable option for long-term anticoagulation in NVAF patients, supported by the recent availability of cost saving generic formulations.
Vignette: Your 78-year-old patient developed persistent atrial fibrillation in hospital after elective total hip replacement. After surgery, she was treated with rivaroxaban 20mg/d, partly for initial prophylaxis of thromboembolism. Now recovered, her rivaroxaban prescription is about to expire. If she agrees to ongoing anticoagulation to prevent arterial embolic events, how do you decide what to prescribe?
Summary and Conclusions
- Observational studies of comparative effectiveness provide consistent scientific evidence to inform the choice of a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) for non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).
- For patients with NVAF, apixaban is associated with a lower risk of major bleeds than rivaroxaban or dabigatran, and is similar to rivaroxaban but more effective than dabigatran for prevention of stroke and systemic embolism.
- Compared with rivaroxaban, apixaban use is associated with a lower risk of premature death or intracerebral bleeds.
- Generic formulations have lowered the price of apixaban and rivaroxaban by 75%.
For groups of people with chronic NVAF, the potential benefits of anticoagulant drug therapy are expected to outweigh potential harms. As both the embolic outcomes of atrial fibrillation and the hemorrhagic outcomes of anticoagulation can be devastating, informed and shared decision making with patients is desirable. But which of several alternative anticoagulants should one choose? This Letter examines evidence accumulated since 2010 when we expressed initial scepticism about evidence used to license dabigatran, the first direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). Consistent scientific evidence now favours apixaban over rivaroxaban, dabigatran, and edoxaban, as a first choice direct oral anticoagulant for patients who accept twice daily dosing.
Background
NVAF affects about 1-2% of all Canadians, but prevalence increases dramatically with age (<1.0% up to 50 years of age, 4% at 65 years, and 12% above age 80).1 NVAF is independently associated with a 1.5- to 4-fold increased risk of mortality, predominantly due to thromboembolic events and ventricular dysfunction. Compared with people who are anticoagulated, non-anticoagulated AF patients have a 3- to 5-fold increased risk of stroke, although absolute risks depend on many other factors.2
However, anticoagulated patients risk serious morbidity and mortality from hemorrhage. In the United States from 2007 through 2009, bleeding attributed to warfarin caused one-third of the nearly 100,000 emergency hospitalizations for an adverse drug event in people age 65 or older.3 A similar analysis in older people in Ontario from 2006 through 2008 found anticoagulants (unspecified, but prior to approval of DOACs) responsible for 15% of adverse drug events assessed in emergency departments.4
The decision to provide anti-coagulant therapy depends on multiple clinical factors, including the anticipated risk of stroke, bleeding history, kidney and liver function, prior drug experience, and patient goals and preferences.
Warfarin
Warfarin is a low-cost and effective therapy used since the 1950s to reduce the risk of stroke in NVAF patients. But it requires regular blood tests to maintain the international normalized ratio (INR) within the target therapeutic range. Numerous drug and food interactions affect warfarin’s efficacy and safety.
Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs)
In 2010 Health Canada approved the thrombin (Factor IIa) inhibitor dabigatran (Pradaxa) as the first direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) for stroke prevention in patients with NVAF. Approval was based mainly on one large randomized controlled trial (RCT). The RE-LY trial compared dabigatran with warfarin, but it was not double blinded. Therapeutics Letter 80 analysed the RE-LY trial and concluded that licensing of dabigatran at 150mg BID was “premature, pharmacologically irrational and unsafe for many patients.”5 However, dabigatran quickly became a popular alternative to warfarin because of the major convenience advantage that blood tests to adjust dose are neither required nor practical.
Between 2012 and 2016 Health Canada approved 3 Factor Xa (prothrombinase) inhibitor DOACs for treatment of NVAF: apixaban, rivaroxaban and edoxaban (Table 1).
Table 1: DOACs approved in Canada for NVAF
Chemical name | Brand name | Approved | Usual dose | Daily ingredient cost (generic) | Daily ingredient cost (brand) |
Dabigatran | Pradaxa |
2010 |
150 mg BID |
$2.71 |
$3.61 |
Apixaban | Eliquis |
2012 |
5 mg BID |
$0.88 |
$3.53 |
Rivaroxaban | Xarelto |
2012 |
20 mg OD |
$0.77 |
$3.07 |
Edoxaban | Lixiana |
2016 |
60 mg OD |
not available |
$3.17 |
Randomized controlled trials found DOACs to be at least as safe and effective as warfarin,6 and they are now recommended as first-line therapy in NVAF patients for whom anticoagulation is indicated.1 Apixaban and rivaroxaban are the most commonly prescribed DOACs for NVAF. This is true in BC where the total costs in 2023 for apixaban and rivaroxaban were $27,600,000 and $37,400,000, respectively.7 Since generic formulations of apixaban, dabigatran, and rivaroxaban became available in Canada during 2023, annualized ingredient costs have dropped by 75% for both apixaban and rivaroxaban, versus 25% for dabigatran.
Figure 1 and Figure 2 show changes in utilization of DOACs in BC and total drug ingredient costs (public and private, not including dispensing fees) since 2019.
Choosing a DOAC for NVAF
Randomized clinical trials directly comparing the DOACs for atrial fibrillation were never conducted, making it impossible to choose a superior DOAC based on direct evidence.8 This differs from some conditions such as hypertension, diabetes, or depression.9-11 Indirect evidence is available from network meta-analyses of the large pre-approval RCTs that compared different DOACs with warfarin. But it is compromised by marked differences between these RCTs in the populations studied, in blinding strategies, and in the quality of warfarin management.8 However, comparative effectiveness research using large administrative databases, and increasingly sophisticated study methodology, provide a growing body of scientific evidence from which to compare the observed benefits and harms of the four DOACs licensed in Canada.
Clarifying comparative effectiveness and safety: TI systematic review
We conducted a systematic review of observational studies that compare directly the effectiveness and safety of apixaban with other DOACs for treatment of NVAF patients (Table 2).
Table 2: PICOS and study inclusion criteria
Population: | Patients with NVAF aged ≥18 years, treated for stroke prevention |
Intervention: | Apixaban |
Comparators: | Dabigatran, edoxaban, rivaroxaban |
Outcomes: |
|
Eligible studies: | Prospective and retrospective cohort studies |
Databases searched: | Medline, Embase and Cochrane CENTRAL up to September 5, 2023 |
We identified 42 cohort studies (N=2,936,126). Of these, we could meta-analyze 27 studies (N=2,135,415) that reported the total number of events during the study periods.12 The remaining 15 studies (N=800,711) reported only hazard ratios (HRs) for clinical outcomes, precluding meta-analysis. We tabulated clinical outcomes as defined in the 27 observational studies suitable for meta-analysis. While these studies define some outcomes differently, the events are obviously clinically important. Major bleeding was typically – but not always – defined as requiring hospitalization, an emergency room visit, transfusion, or in a critical anatomical site (as opposed to a drop in hemoglobin >20g/L alone).13, 14
Findings
Table 3 shows that apixaban was associated with lower risks of major bleeds, compared with dabigatran and rivaroxaban. Despite similar stroke or systemic embolism risks, apixaban was associated with a lower risk of total mortality, ischemic stroke and intracranial hemorrhage compared with rivaroxaban. Apixaban and dabigatran were associated with similar risks of death and intracranial hemorrhage; but apixaban was associated with a lower risk of stroke or systemic embolism and of ischemic stroke, compared with dabigatran. Because edoxaban was licensed later, observational data are insufficient for us to compare effectiveness and safety with equivalent confidence as for the 3 previously licensed DOACs. Findings of 3 published observational studies of edoxaban are mostly compatible with those shown in Table 3.
Table 3: TI Meta-analysis of DOAC observational studies
Outcome | Comparison | Number of studies (N) | Pooled Relative Risk (95% CI) |
Total mortality |
apixaban vs. dabigatran apixaban vs. rivaroxaban |
11 (515,706) 13 (1,267,040) |
1.03 (0.93, 1.15) 0.86 (0.79, 0.95) |
Stroke/systemic embolism |
apixaban vs. dabigatran apixaban vs. rivaroxaban |
12 (828,396) 14 (1,826,473) |
0.89 (0.81, 0.98) 0.92 (0.85, 1.00) |
Ischemic stroke |
apixaban vs. dabigatran apixaban vs. rivaroxaban |
18 (394,554) 19 (1,087,791) |
0.85 (0.73, 0.99) 0.75 (0.58, 0.98) |
Intracranial hemorrhage |
apixaban vs. dabigatran apixaban vs. rivaroxaban |
15 (922,271) 18 (1,973,314) |
0.96 (0.85, 1.10) 0.76 (0.68, 0.85) |
Major bleeds |
apixaban vs. dabigatran apixaban vs. rivaroxaban |
16 (375,591) 15 (592,394) |
0.80 (0.72, 0.89) 0.62 (0.53, 0.74) |
Pooled relative risk estimates shown in bold denote statistically significant differences where the 95% CI excludes 1.00.
Discussion
The retrospective design of administrative database studies has inherent limitations that preclude establishing causal relationships as confidently as one can assert from randomized clinical trials. Due to the non-randomized nature of the evidence, we cannot exclude the possibility of residual confounding and other biases, even with the use of innovative statistical methods.8
In this instance the research studies on comparative effectiveness are large, methodologically sound, and remarkably consistent. This provides useful guidance for physicians to choose the most appropriate DOAC for their patients. In support of this position, previous systematic reviews found that the results of many large, well-designed observational studies of DOACs versus warfarin were consistent with the findings from RCTs.15, 16
Despite its twice daily dosing, use of apixaban has increased much faster than other DOACs, such that it is now the most frequently prescribed DOAC in BC, the USA and UK.17 Health Canada’s 2022 approval of generic formulations has made apixaban yet more appealing as a first-choice DOAC.
Vignette resolution: Your patient agrees to long-term anticoagulation, to be reviewed from time to time. Given the evidence that apixaban is at least as effective and safer than alternative DOACs, you prescribe a trial of generic apixaban with renewals if tolerated, and your patient accepts the twice daily dosing. You counsel her about precautions to reduce her chance of dangerous bleeds.
Data Sources
We used the following data sources: BC Ministry of Health [creator] (2023): PharmaNet. BC Ministry of Health [publisher]. Data Stewardship Committee (2022).
Disclaimer
All inferences, opinions and conclusions from BC prescription data are those of the UBC Therapeutics Initiative and do not reflect the opinions or policies of the data stewards.
References
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- Andrade JG, Aguilar M, Atzema C, et al. The 2020 Canadian Cardiovascular Society/Canadian Heart Rhythm Society Comprehensive Guidelines for the Management of Atrial Fibrillation. Canadian Journal of Cardiology 2020; 36(12):1847-1948. DOI: 10.1016/j.cjca.2020.09.001
- Guidelines and Protocols and Advisory Committee (GPAC). Atrial Fibrillation: Diagnosis and Management. Effective Date: July 26, 2023 https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/health/practitioner-professional-resources/bc-guidelines/atrial-fibrillation
- Budnitz DS, Lovegrove MC, Shehab N, Richards CL. Emergency hospitalizations for adverse drug events in older Americans. N Engl J Med 2011; 365:2002–12. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMsa1103053
- Bayoumi I, Dolovich L, Hutchison B, Holbrook A. Medication-related emergency department visits and hospitalizations among older adults. Can Fam Physician 2014; 60(4):e217–22. https://www.cfp.ca/content/60/4/e217.long
- Therapeutics Initiative. Dabigatran for atrial fibrillation: Why we can not rely on RE-LY. Therapeutics Letter 80 (January-March 2011). https://ti.ubc.ca/letter80
- Bruins Slot KMH, Berge E. Factor Xa inhibitors versus vitamin K antagonists for preventing cerebral or systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2018, Issue 3. Art. No.: CD008980. DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD008980.pub3
- Therapeutics Initiative Pharmacoepidemiology Group. Analysis of PharmaNet data on utilization of direct oral coagulants in British Columbia: 2019-2023. (unpublished)
- Lau WCY, Torre CO, Man KKC, et al. Comparative Effectiveness and Safety Between Apixaban, Dabigatran, Edoxaban, and Rivaroxaban Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation : A Multinational Population-Based Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med 2022; 175(11):1515-24. DOI: 10.7326/M22-0511. Erratum in: Ann Intern Med 2023; 176(1):44. DOI: 10.7326/L22-0482
- Therapeutics Initiative. The Answer: Thiazides First-line for Hypertension. Therapeutics Letter 47 (January – March 2003). https://ti.ubc.ca/letter47
- The GRADE Study Research Group. Glycemia Reduction in Type 2 Diabetes – Microvascular and Cardiovascular Outcomes. N Engl J Med 2022; 387:1075-1088. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2200436
- Rush AJ, Fava M, Wisniewski SR, et al. Sequenced treatment alternatives to relieve depression (STAR*D): rationale and design. Control Clin Trials. 2004; 25(1):119-42. DOI: 10.1016/s0197-2456(03)00112-0
- Therapeutics Initiative Drug Assessment Working Group. Comparative effectiveness and safety of direct oral anticoagulants in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation – A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. Therapeutics Initiative; 2024. https://ti.ubc.ca/doacs-nvaf
- Menichelli D, Del Sole F, Di Rocco A, et al. Real-world safety and efficacy of direct oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 605,771 patients. European Heart Journal Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy. 2021; 7(FI1): f11-f19. DOI: 10.1093/ehjcvp/pvab002 Supplementary table 2: Definition of safety and efficacy outcomes according to each study [LINK]
- Durand M, Schnitzer ME, Pang M, et al. Effectiveness and safety among direct oral anticoagulants in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: A multi-database cohort study with meta-analysis. Br J Clin Pharmacol 2021; 87(6): 2589–2601. DOI: 10.1111/bcp.14669 Supplementary appendix 2: ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes used to define secondary outcomes and drug identification numbers used to define direct oral anticoagulants used in the study [LINK]
- Li G, Holbrook A, Jin Y, et al. Comparison of treatment effect estimates of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants versus warfarin between observational studies using propensity score methods and randomized controlled trials. Eur J Epidemiol 2016; 31(6):541-61. DOI: 10.1007/s10654-016-0178-y
- Siontis KC, Checkole S, Yao X, et al. Do observational studies agree with randomized trials? Evaluation of oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation [Letter]. J Am Coll Cardiol 2020; 75(5):562-3. DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.12.007
- Colacci M, Tseng EK, Sacks CA, Fralick M. Oral Anticoagulant Utilization in the United States and United Kingdom. J Gen Intern Med 2020; 35(8):2505-2507. DOI: 10.1007/s11606-020-05904-0
SK Smith
Posted at 09:40h, 13 FebruaryMany thanks. I was just prescribed Apixaban yesterday.
SKSmith
Edmonton
Juan Erviti López
Posted at 14:47h, 11 SeptemberWe have been working hard on DOACs for many years and still hesitate on their clinical value. Please find below the DTB Navarre issues on this topic:
1. What role can dabigatran, rivaroxaban and apixaban play in the future? (2011)
https://www.navarra.es/NR/rdonlyres/EDF23C83-3993-4A9C-A627-14443CB9787D/205527/Bit_v19n3_e.pdf
2. Uncertaities about new oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation. Deficiencies and irregularities in the authorization process (2016)
https://www.navarra.es/NR/rdonlyres/5C9F527F-912F-41DC-96B8-328646416864/350107/Bit_v24n1_e.pdf
3. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for new indications – from bad to worse? (2020)
https://www.navarra.es/NR/rdonlyres/79B95A84-3789-4C9D-90F8-D6AF24204ED2/461423/Bit_vol28n1e.pdf
And breaking news from the best clinical trial so far…
The FRAIL-AF trial (2024)
Just a few days before publication of TL 146, a highly relevant clinical trial was published, FRAIL-AF: https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.066485 This is the first independent clinical trial (two-tailed unlike pivotal trials) comparing warfarin vs DOACs and its results contradict TL 146 statements. Authors’ conclusion: “Switching INR-guided VKA treatment to a NOAC in frail older patients with AF was associated with more bleeding complications compared to continuing VKA treatment, without an associated reduction in thromboembolic complications”. There was a 69% increase in major bleeding (d.s.) and thromboembolic events were also a 29% higher (n.s.) in the DOAC group. The point is that differences were increasing between groups when the trial was stopped (after one year follow-up, according to the protocol). It would have been great if the follow-up was longer. Additionally, DOACs are said to perform better for intracranial bleeding. However, in this trial, no differences were observed between warfarin and DOACs in intracranial bleeding (see Table 3).
DOACs pivotal trials are really biased and fraudulent, and most observational trials are also biased. We have just created a cohort including nearly 400,000 patients with AF with an average follow-up of 10-years. The main outcome is “clinical net benefit”, including both thromboembolic and major bleeding. We hope to get the results by the end of 2024. We’ll see…
Anyway, with the current evidence, if I was to receive anticoagulants for AF, I’d still choose warfarin…
Juan Erviti López
Editor in Chief, DTB Navarre
Sección de Innovación y Organización
Servicio Navarro de Salud
Pamplona, Navarra, Spain
Declaration of Interest: Juan Erviti López has no conflict of interest.